Your 2025 investment review
Remember 2025? Let us jog your memory.
A new prime minister. A new president. A trade war. Falling interest rates. A rising dollar. Jays. Dodgers. Justin. Katy. A gold rush. An AI boom ā or is it a bubble?
What started as an uncertain year turned into an easy climb for the stock markets, and your Portfolios.
Letās take trip down memory laneā¦
Zoom in | Portfolio performance
Apart from a global stock scare back in April, it was mostly smooth sailing for investors in 2025. Canadian stocks had their best year since 2009, thanks to gold, financials and energy (in that order). The S&P/TSX Composite Index gained 31.7%1, nearly double the return of U.S. stocks, while outpacing their European and International counterparts as well2 ā though they all had a strong year too.
The yearās big winner? Diversification. Investors whose assets were less concentrated on the U.S. market may have seen more significant gains than those who didnāt3.
And so it went with Tangerine Portfolios, which delivered positive returns no matter your investing strategy: conservative, balanced or growth.
Portfolio performance as at Dec. 31, 2025. Source: 1832 Asset Management L.P. Past returns are not indicative of future performance.
ĀSee historical performance here
Zoom out | A 2025 report card
2025 was a year of resilience, ending by most measures on a high note, which weāve summarized here with a handy report card.
Subject |
Grade |
|---|---|
Gold |
Up 57% on the year. A+ |
Silver |
Up a whopping 136%. A++ |
Bitcoin |
Down 11.5% for the year, after flirting with record highs as recently as October. C- |
Loonie |
At $0.73 USD, up from $0.695. B |
S&P/TSX Index |
Up 31.7%, the third year in a row with double digit returns. A |
S&P 500 Index |
Up 12.4%, amounting to a great comeback from Aprilās low. B+ |
Up 65%, outperforming the rest of the āMagnificent Sevenā stocks. A+ |
|
Inflation rate |
The Consumer Price Index hit 2.2% in October and November, closing in on the Bank of Canadaās target rate of 2%, though food inflation remains high. B |
Interest rates |
Bank of Canadaās policy rate held at 2.25%, down from 3.25% at the start of the year. Good news for investors and borrowers. B+ |
Unemployment |
6.5% as of November, still high-ish, but down from 7.1% in September. C+ |
Investor insight š Do good things come in fours?
The S&P 500 TR Index had double digit returns for three years in a row. Can that momentum be sustained in 2026?
Short answer is that we donāt know what the coming year will bring, but we can look for clues in whatās happened in the past.
Since 1971, the S&P 500 has delivered double-digit returns over nine multi-year periods, typically lasting a little over three yearsābut on several occasions stretched to four or even five years.
But even if 2026 doesnāt turn out to be one of those four-year runs of double digits, that doesnāt necessarily spell a negative return. In fact, the average streak of consecutive gains since 1971 is nearly six years.
Years |
Consecutive years over 10% |
|---|---|
1971-72 |
2 |
1975-76 |
2 |
1978-80 |
3 |
1982-86 |
5 |
1989 |
1 |
1991-93 |
3 |
1995-99 |
5 |
2006 |
1 |
2012-15 |
4 |
2017 |
1 |
2019-21 |
3 |
2023-25 |
3 |
S&P 500 TR Index in CAD. Source: 1832 Asset Management L.P.
The Big Question
With Mike Allen, Head of Advice at Tangerine Investments
Q: What can we expect from markets in 2026?
A: Many so-called experts will share predictions, but theyāre often wrongāit can make palm readers look reliable.
But thereās one action that smart investors rarely get wrong, and thatās to invest consistently regardless of market conditions.
Ben Graham, Warren Buffettās mentor, said it best: āInvest as regularly as you buy groceries, not perfume.ā It doesnāt have to be a lot, just whatever you can afford.
The easiest way is to set up a pre-authorized contribution to your investment account. This simple step keeps you disciplined. If youāre ever feeling uncertain, talk to one of our licensed Advisors for personalized advice.
š Ask Mike a Big (or small) Question
The short of it
Letās sum up what weāve learned.
- The TSX/S&P Composite Index had a remarkable year, buoyed by gold, financials and energy stocks.
- While itās rare to see double-digit returns four years in a row, it is not unheard ofāand positive runs can last much longer.
- Diversification has often been called investingās āonly free lunchāāwhich turned especially true in 2025.
Hereās to more good things, and riding out the bad ones, in 2026.
Remember, Clients can always reach out to a Tangerine Advisor to discuss your investments, at 1-877-464-5678.
Catch you next quarter š
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1The S&P/TSX Composite Index returned 31.7% for the year.
2The S&P 500 TR Index in the U.S. returned 12.4% for the year in CAD$. The MSCI EAFE NR index (international equities) returned 25.1% in CAD$ for the year. The MSCI Europe NR index returned 29.1% in 2025 in CAD$. Source: Morningstar
3Diversification does not guarantee a profit or eliminate the risk of loss.