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Your 2025 in review šŸ“ˆ A high note

A hazy start led to a golden finish for global stocks and diversification

January 22, 2026

Written by Ariel Teplitsky, reviewed by Yufei Man

Illustration showing a rising stock chart surrounded by floating coins.

Key takeaways

  • Canadian stocks had their best year since 2009.
  • All Tangerine Portfolios posted positive returns in 2025.
  • Stock market hot streaks are historically common, though double-digit streaks are more rare.

Your 2025 investment review

Remember 2025? Let us jog your memory.

A new prime minister. A new president. A trade war. Falling interest rates. A rising dollar. Jays. Dodgers. Justin. Katy. A gold rush. An AI boom – or is it a bubble?

What started as an uncertain year turned into an easy climb for the stock markets, and your Portfolios.

Let’s take trip down memory lane…

Zoom in | Portfolio performance  

Apart from a global stock scare back in April, it was mostly smooth sailing for investors in 2025. Canadian stocks had their best year since 2009, thanks to gold, financials and energy (in that order). The S&P/TSX Composite Index gained 31.7%1, nearly double the return of U.S. stocks, while outpacing their European and International counterparts as well2 – though they all had a strong year too.

The year’s big winner? Diversification. Investors whose assets were less concentrated on the U.S. market may have seen more significant gains than those who didn’t3.

And so it went with Tangerine Portfolios, which delivered positive returns no matter your investing strategy: conservative, balanced or growth

Chart showing the performance of Tangerine's Investment portfolios for the fourth quarter of 2025 and the full year.

Portfolio performance as at Dec. 31, 2025. Source: 1832 Asset Management L.P. Past returns are not indicative of future performance.

Ā­See historical performance here

Zoom out | A 2025 report card

2025 was a year of resilience, ending by most measures on a high note, which we’ve summarized here with a handy report card.

Subject

Grade

Gold

Up 57% on the year. A+

Silver

Up a whopping 136%. A++

Bitcoin

Down 11.5% for the year, after flirting with record highs as recently as October. C-

Loonie

At $0.73 USD, up from $0.695. B

S&P/TSX Index

Up 31.7%, the third year in a row with double digit returns. A

S&P 500 Index

Up 12.4%, amounting to a great comeback from April’s low. B+

Google

Up 65%, outperforming the rest of the ā€œMagnificent Sevenā€ stocks. A+

Inflation rate

The Consumer Price Index hit 2.2% in October and November, closing in on the Bank of Canada’s target rate of 2%, though food inflation remains highB

Interest rates

Bank of Canada’s policy rate held at 2.25%, down from 3.25% at the start of the year. Good news for investors and borrowers. B+

Unemployment

6.5% as of November, still high-ish, but down from 7.1% in September. C+

Investor insight šŸ”Ž Do good things come in fours?

The S&P 500 TR Index had double digit returns for three years in a row. Can that momentum be sustained in 2026?

Short answer is that we don’t know what the coming year will bring, but we can look for clues in what’s happened in the past.

Since 1971, the S&P 500 has delivered double-digit returns over nine multi-year periods, typically lasting a little over three years—but on several occasions stretched to four or even five years.

But even if 2026 doesn’t turn out to be one of those four-year runs of double digits, that doesn’t necessarily spell a negative return. In fact, the average streak of consecutive gains since 1971 is nearly six years.

Years

Consecutive years

over 10%

1971-72

2

1975-76

2

1978-80

3

1982-86

5

1989

1

1991-93

3

1995-99

5

2006

1

2012-15

4

2017

1

2019-21

3

2023-25

3

S&P 500 TR Index in CAD. Source: 1832 Asset Management L.P.

The Big Question

With Mike Allen, Head of Advice at Tangerine Investments

Q: What can we expect from markets in 2026?

A: Many so-called experts will share predictions, but they’re often wrong—it can make palm readers look reliable. 

But there’s one action that smart investors rarely get wrong, and that’s to invest consistently regardless of market conditions.

Ben Graham, Warren Buffett’s mentor, said it best: ā€œInvest as regularly as you buy groceries, not perfume.ā€ It doesn’t have to be a lot, just whatever you can afford.

The easiest way is to set up a pre-authorized contribution to your investment account. This simple step keeps you disciplined. If you’re ever feeling uncertain, talk to one of our licensed Advisors for personalized advice.

šŸ’Œ Ask Mike a Big (or small) Question

The short of it

Let’s sum up what we’ve learned.

  • The TSX/S&P Composite Index had a remarkable year, buoyed by gold, financials and energy stocks.
  • While it’s rare to see double-digit returns four years in a row, it is not unheard of—and positive runs can last much longer.
  • Diversification has often been called investing’s ā€œonly free lunchā€ā€”which turned especially true in 2025.

Here’s to more good things, and riding out the bad ones, in 2026.

Remember, Clients can always reach out to a Tangerine Advisor to discuss your investments, at 1-877-464-5678.

Catch you next quarter šŸ‘€

Get a 2% Investment Bonus♢♢

Move money to Tangerine Investments & earn up to $20,000 per Account type.

1The S&P/TSX Composite Index returned 31.7% for the year.

2The S&P 500 TR Index in the U.S. returned 12.4% for the year in CAD$. The MSCI EAFE NR index (international equities) returned 25.1% in CAD$ for the year. The MSCI Europe NR index returned 29.1% in 2025 in CAD$. Source: Morningstar

3Diversification does not guarantee a profit or eliminate the risk of loss.

This article or video (the ā€œContentā€), as applicable, is provided for information purposes only. It is not to be relied upon as financial, tax or investment advice or guarantees about the future, nor should it be considered a recommendation to buy or sell. Information contained in this content, including information relating to interest rates, market conditions, tax rules, and other investment factors are subject to change without notice and Tangerine Bank is not responsible to update this information. References to any third party product or service, opinion or statement, or the use of any trade, firm or corporation name does not constitute endorsement, recommendation, or approval by Tangerine Bank of any of the products, services or opinions of the third party. All third party sources are believed to be accurate and reliable as of the date of publication and Tangerine Bank does not guarantee its accuracy or reliability. Readers should consult their own professional advisor for specific financial, investment and/or tax advice tailored to their needs to ensure that individual circumstances are considered properly and action is taken based on the latest available information.

Tangerine Investment Funds are managed by 1832 Asset Management L.P. Tangerine Investment Funds Limited is the principal distributor of Tangerine Investment Funds. Tangerine Investment Funds Limited and 1832 Asset Management L.P. are wholly owned subsidiaries of The Bank of Nova Scotia. Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.